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icon for Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas

1,05M-1,125M 44%

900K-975K 25%

1,125M-1,2M 23%

975K-1,05M 10.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

1,05M-1,125M 44%

900K-975K 25%

1,125M-1,2M 23%

975K-1,05M 10.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

<900K

$2,545 Vol.

2%

900K-975K

$1,140 Vol.

34%

975K-1,05M

$764 Vol.

7%

1,05M-1,125M

$1,856 Vol.

44%

1,125M-1,2M

$1,565 Vol.

26%

1,2M-1,275M

$857 Vol.

8%

1,275M-1,35M

$410 Vol.

<1%

1,35M+

$547 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on Nevada's November 3, 2026 gubernatorial turnout remains tightly balanced between the 900K–975K and 1.05M–1.125M ranges because the race sits in a classic midterm environment with a narrow contest.** Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a modest polling edge over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–4 points. This competitiveness, alongside heavy early and mail voting typical in Nevada, supports the potential for participation above the 2022 midterm's roughly 1.02 million ballots. At the same time, the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot and historically modest off-year engagement cap upside, keeping lower ranges viable. Primary turnout rose only modestly to about 20 percent amid localized contests, while registered voters exceed 2.27 million. Scheduled early voting and any late shifts in enthusiasm or national conditions could widen the gap between these leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,685
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on Nevada's November 3, 2026 gubernatorial turnout remains tightly balanced between the 900K–975K and 1.05M–1.125M ranges because the race sits in a classic midterm environment with a narrow contest.** Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a modest polling edge over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–4 points. This competitiveness, alongside heavy early and mail voting typical in Nevada, supports the potential for participation above the 2022 midterm's roughly 1.02 million ballots. At the same time, the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot and historically modest off-year engagement cap upside, keeping lower ranges viable. Primary turnout rose only modestly to about 20 percent amid localized contests, while registered voters exceed 2.27 million. Scheduled early voting and any late shifts in enthusiasm or national conditions could widen the gap between these leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,685
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,05M-1,125M" at 44%, followed by "900K-975K" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas" is "1,05M-1,125M" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "900K-975K" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para governador de Nevada: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.