The non-competitive Arkansas U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Tom Cotton and Democrat Hallie Shoffner, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, anchors trader expectations for total ballots cast in the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Cotton leading by roughly 8–15 points, limiting the intensity of mobilization efforts typical in swing states. As a midterm without a presidential race on the ballot, baseline participation in this heavily Republican state tends to fall below presidential-year levels. Early voting reports, candidate events, or shifts in national political enthusiasm could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading turnout brackets (825K–900K and 900K–975K) before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado do Arkansas: comparecimento às urnas
Eleição para o Senado do Arkansas: comparecimento às urnas
900K-975K 48%
825K-900K 42%
975K-1,05M 19%
1,05M+ 2.6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<600K
<1%
600K-675K
<1%
675K-750K
<1%
750K-825K
1%
825K-900K
44%
900K-975K
41%
975K-1,05M
19%
1,05M+
3%
900K-975K 48%
825K-900K 42%
975K-1,05M 19%
1,05M+ 2.6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<600K
$621 Vol.
<1%
600K-675K
$485 Vol.
<1%
675K-750K
$596 Vol.
<1%
750K-825K
$794 Vol.
1%
825K-900K
$1,261 Vol.
44%
900K-975K
$1,370 Vol.
41%
975K-1,05M
$1,211 Vol.
19%
1,05M+
$490 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive Arkansas U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Tom Cotton and Democrat Hallie Shoffner, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, anchors trader expectations for total ballots cast in the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Cotton leading by roughly 8–15 points, limiting the intensity of mobilization efforts typical in swing states. As a midterm without a presidential race on the ballot, baseline participation in this heavily Republican state tends to fall below presidential-year levels. Early voting reports, candidate events, or shifts in national political enthusiasm could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading turnout brackets (825K–900K and 900K–975K) before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Volume
$6,828Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive Arkansas U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Tom Cotton and Democrat Hallie Shoffner, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, anchors trader expectations for total ballots cast in the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Cotton leading by roughly 8–15 points, limiting the intensity of mobilization efforts typical in swing states. As a midterm without a presidential race on the ballot, baseline participation in this heavily Republican state tends to fall below presidential-year levels. Early voting reports, candidate events, or shifts in national political enthusiasm could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading turnout brackets (825K–900K and 900K–975K) before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,828Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-competitive Arkansas U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Tom Cotton and Democrat Hallie Shoffner, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, anchors trader expectations for total ballots cast in the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Cotton leading by roughly 8–15 points, limiting the intensity of mobilization efforts typical in swing states. As a midterm without a presidential race on the ballot, baseline participation in this heavily Republican state tends to fall below presidential-year levels. Early voting reports, candidate events, or shifts in national political enthusiasm could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading turnout brackets (825K–900K and 900K–975K) before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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