**Divergent short-range forecast models for overnight minimum temperatures on September 10–11 create the near-even split between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes.** Recent warm advection has kept daytime highs near 20–29 °C through September 9, but a shift toward lighter winds and variable cloud cover favors stronger radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered around 10–13 °C, yet small differences in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and high-cloud timing can swing the minimum by several degrees. Official Polish meteorological updates and the next ECMWF/GFS runs will tighten the range before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders are therefore weighting both the risk of clear-sky radiational cooling toward single-digit Celsius values and the potential for residual warmth or increased mixing to hold minima above 15 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 11 de setembro?
5°C ou menos 85%
15°C ou mais 78%
10°C 39%
7°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
5°C ou menos
85%
6°C
19%
7°C
30%
8°C
27%
9°C
11%
10°C
39%
11°C
15%
12°C
14%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C ou mais
78%
5°C ou menos 85%
15°C ou mais 78%
10°C 39%
7°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
5°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
85%
6°C
$9 Vol.
19%
7°C
$0 Vol.
30%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$48 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$60 Vol.
15%
12°C
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent short-range forecast models for overnight minimum temperatures on September 10–11 create the near-even split between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes.** Recent warm advection has kept daytime highs near 20–29 °C through September 9, but a shift toward lighter winds and variable cloud cover favors stronger radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered around 10–13 °C, yet small differences in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and high-cloud timing can swing the minimum by several degrees. Official Polish meteorological updates and the next ECMWF/GFS runs will tighten the range before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders are therefore weighting both the risk of clear-sky radiational cooling toward single-digit Celsius values and the potential for residual warmth or increased mixing to hold minima above 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$117Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent short-range forecast models for overnight minimum temperatures on September 10–11 create the near-even split between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes.** Recent warm advection has kept daytime highs near 20–29 °C through September 9, but a shift toward lighter winds and variable cloud cover favors stronger radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered around 10–13 °C, yet small differences in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and high-cloud timing can swing the minimum by several degrees. Official Polish meteorological updates and the next ECMWF/GFS runs will tighten the range before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders are therefore weighting both the risk of clear-sky radiational cooling toward single-digit Celsius values and the potential for residual warmth or increased mixing to hold minima above 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Divergent short-range forecast models for overnight minimum temperatures on September 10–11 create the near-even split between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes.** Recent warm advection has kept daytime highs near 20–29 °C through September 9, but a shift toward lighter winds and variable cloud cover favors stronger radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered around 10–13 °C, yet small differences in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and high-cloud timing can swing the minimum by several degrees. Official Polish meteorological updates and the next ECMWF/GFS runs will tighten the range before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders are therefore weighting both the risk of clear-sky radiational cooling toward single-digit Celsius values and the potential for residual warmth or increased mixing to hold minima above 15 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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