Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the dominant driver of Warsaw’s minimum temperature on September 10. Surface heat loss accelerates after sunset with dew points near 12–14 °C, limiting further drops, while a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses cloud cover and advection. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours show daytime maxima near 29 °C followed by rapid evening declines, consistent with early-September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader clustering around 10–13 °C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high cloud, with resolution hinging on official hourly readings through the pre-dawn hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia a 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia a 10 de setembro?
12°C 48%
10°C 47%
14°C 38.5%
11°C 38%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
9°C ou menos
32%
10°C
47%
11°C
38%
12°C
48%
13°C
45%
14°C
39%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
12°C 48%
10°C 47%
14°C 38.5%
11°C 38%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$12 Vol.
32%
10°C
$0 Vol.
47%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$5 Vol.
48%
13°C
$4 Vol.
45%
14°C
$25 Vol.
39%
15°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the dominant driver of Warsaw’s minimum temperature on September 10. Surface heat loss accelerates after sunset with dew points near 12–14 °C, limiting further drops, while a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses cloud cover and advection. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours show daytime maxima near 29 °C followed by rapid evening declines, consistent with early-September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader clustering around 10–13 °C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high cloud, with resolution hinging on official hourly readings through the pre-dawn hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$487Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the dominant driver of Warsaw’s minimum temperature on September 10. Surface heat loss accelerates after sunset with dew points near 12–14 °C, limiting further drops, while a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses cloud cover and advection. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours show daytime maxima near 29 °C followed by rapid evening declines, consistent with early-September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader clustering around 10–13 °C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high cloud, with resolution hinging on official hourly readings through the pre-dawn hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$487Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the dominant driver of Warsaw’s minimum temperature on September 10. Surface heat loss accelerates after sunset with dew points near 12–14 °C, limiting further drops, while a weak high-pressure ridge suppresses cloud cover and advection. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours show daytime maxima near 29 °C followed by rapid evening declines, consistent with early-September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader clustering around 10–13 °C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high cloud, with resolution hinging on official hourly readings through the pre-dawn hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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