Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European sources indicate an overnight low near 11–14 °C for Amsterdam on September 11, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a frontal system, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This setup contrasts with historical September 11 averages of roughly 11 °C lows and recent cooler-than-normal conditions in the region. Trader consensus remains closely divided between sub-8 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can alter the minimum by several degrees; updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão no dia 11 de setembro?
8°C ou menos 94%
18°C ou mais 89%
14°C 32%
13°C 29%
8°C ou menos
94%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
7%
12°C
23%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C ou mais
89%
8°C ou menos 94%
18°C ou mais 89%
14°C 32%
13°C 29%
8°C ou menos
94%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
7%
12°C
23%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C ou mais
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European sources indicate an overnight low near 11–14 °C for Amsterdam on September 11, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a frontal system, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This setup contrasts with historical September 11 averages of roughly 11 °C lows and recent cooler-than-normal conditions in the region. Trader consensus remains closely divided between sub-8 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can alter the minimum by several degrees; updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions