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icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang

Wang Chung-ming 87%

Tsao Erh-yuan 5.0%

Tsao Erh-chang <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Wang Chung-ming 87%

Tsao Erh-yuan 5.0%

Tsao Erh-chang <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Wang Chung-ming

Wang Chung-ming

$4,073 Vol.

87%

icon for Tsao Erh-yuan

Tsao Erh-yuan

$777 Vol.

5%

icon for Tsao Erh-chang

Tsao Erh-chang

$1,000 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the November 28, 2026 local election. This positioning stems from his 2022 victory, party nomination secured in June, and the county’s consistent KMT alignment in a low-population offshore constituency with limited organized opposition. Tsao Erh-yuan, the independent challenger and former KMT official in a rematch of the prior contest, registers at just 5%, reflecting the structural barriers for non-party candidates. Candidate registration closed in early September with no Democratic Progressive Party entrant, reinforcing the absence of competitive alternatives and leaving market pricing anchored to the incumbent’s established local support base ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,850
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the November 28, 2026 local election. This positioning stems from his 2022 victory, party nomination secured in June, and the county’s consistent KMT alignment in a low-population offshore constituency with limited organized opposition. Tsao Erh-yuan, the independent challenger and former KMT official in a rematch of the prior contest, registers at just 5%, reflecting the structural barriers for non-party candidates. Candidate registration closed in early September with no Democratic Progressive Party entrant, reinforcing the absence of competitive alternatives and leaving market pricing anchored to the incumbent’s established local support base ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,850
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wang Chung-ming" at 87%, followed by "Tsao Erh-yuan" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" is "Wang Chung-ming" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tsao Erh-yuan" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.