Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean, reflected in a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and prior results including Kamala Harris's 25.5-point margin in 2024. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and faces no significant primary opposition this cycle, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who won her March primary, enters as a political newcomer with limited fundraising and visibility. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with no district-level polling indicating movement. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican environment, though the district's fundamentals have historically limited such impacts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
4%
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,061 Vol.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean, reflected in a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and prior results including Kamala Harris's 25.5-point margin in 2024. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and faces no significant primary opposition this cycle, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who won her March primary, enters as a political newcomer with limited fundraising and visibility. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with no district-level polling indicating movement. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican environment, though the district's fundamentals have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$54,755Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean, reflected in a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and prior results including Kamala Harris's 25.5-point margin in 2024. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and faces no significant primary opposition this cycle, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who won her March primary, enters as a political newcomer with limited fundraising and visibility. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with no district-level polling indicating movement. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican environment, though the district's fundamentals have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,755Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean, reflected in a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and prior results including Kamala Harris's 25.5-point margin in 2024. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8% of the vote and faces no significant primary opposition this cycle, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who won her March primary, enters as a political newcomer with limited fundraising and visibility. Independent forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic with no district-level polling indicating movement. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican environment, though the district's fundamentals have historically limited such impacts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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