Tight contests in Michigan’s 7th and 10th congressional districts drive the narrow gap between 8 and 9 Democratic seats in current trader pricing. Post-August primaries, Cook Political Report shifted both races toward Democrats after fresh polling showed competitive or slight Democratic edges in districts with narrow presidential margins. Incumbent positioning in safer seats like the 8th adds stability, while national House forecasts project modest Democratic gains overall. With general election matchups now set and roughly seven weeks until November 3 voting, outcomes in these two battlegrounds will determine whether Democrats reach 8 or 9 seats; late shifts in turnout or national conditions could still alter the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado8 32%
9 30%
7 19%
6 12%
$27,403 Vol.
$27,403 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<5
<1%
5
<1%
6
12%
7
19%
8
32%
9
30%
10+
3%
8 32%
9 30%
7 19%
6 12%
$27,403 Vol.
$27,403 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<5
$827 Vol.
<1%
5
$1,097 Vol.
<1%
6
$8,449 Vol.
12%
7
$3,303 Vol.
19%
8
$6,904 Vol.
32%
9
$5,563 Vol.
30%
10+
$1,259 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Tight contests in Michigan’s 7th and 10th congressional districts drive the narrow gap between 8 and 9 Democratic seats in current trader pricing. Post-August primaries, Cook Political Report shifted both races toward Democrats after fresh polling showed competitive or slight Democratic edges in districts with narrow presidential margins. Incumbent positioning in safer seats like the 8th adds stability, while national House forecasts project modest Democratic gains overall. With general election matchups now set and roughly seven weeks until November 3 voting, outcomes in these two battlegrounds will determine whether Democrats reach 8 or 9 seats; late shifts in turnout or national conditions could still alter the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Volume
$27,403Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Tight contests in Michigan’s 7th and 10th congressional districts drive the narrow gap between 8 and 9 Democratic seats in current trader pricing. Post-August primaries, Cook Political Report shifted both races toward Democrats after fresh polling showed competitive or slight Democratic edges in districts with narrow presidential margins. Incumbent positioning in safer seats like the 8th adds stability, while national House forecasts project modest Democratic gains overall. With general election matchups now set and roughly seven weeks until November 3 voting, outcomes in these two battlegrounds will determine whether Democrats reach 8 or 9 seats; late shifts in turnout or national conditions could still alter the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$27,403Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight contests in Michigan’s 7th and 10th congressional districts drive the narrow gap between 8 and 9 Democratic seats in current trader pricing. Post-August primaries, Cook Political Report shifted both races toward Democrats after fresh polling showed competitive or slight Democratic edges in districts with narrow presidential margins. Incumbent positioning in safer seats like the 8th adds stability, while national House forecasts project modest Democratic gains overall. With general election matchups now set and roughly seven weeks until November 3 voting, outcomes in these two battlegrounds will determine whether Democrats reach 8 or 9 seats; late shifts in turnout or national conditions could still alter the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
Os democratas vão ganhar exatamente 4 cadeiras na Câmara em Minnesota nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
60%
Sim
Os democratas ganharão exatamente 3 cadeiras na Câmara em Wisconsin nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
50%
Sim
Os democratas vencerão exatamente 9 cadeiras na Câmara na Pensilvânia nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
35%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions