**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C daily maximum in Chengdu on September 11 reflects strong agreement across meteorological models and agency forecasts.** Overcast skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity near 70-80% have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan basin. Agencies including the UK Met Office and PredictWind project a peak of 23–24°C, with current observations hovering around 19–21°C and minimal precipitation risk. Final station readings from local networks will determine exact resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing that boosts insolation or minor differences in measurement sites and reporting times, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 11 de setembro?
23°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,798 Vol.
$38,798 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,798 Vol.
$38,798 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C daily maximum in Chengdu on September 11 reflects strong agreement across meteorological models and agency forecasts.** Overcast skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity near 70-80% have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan basin. Agencies including the UK Met Office and PredictWind project a peak of 23–24°C, with current observations hovering around 19–21°C and minimal precipitation risk. Final station readings from local networks will determine exact resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing that boosts insolation or minor differences in measurement sites and reporting times, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions