Recent forecast updates from global models, including GFS runs, indicate Cape Town's September 24 maximum will likely peak near 21–22°C amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–12 mph, and moderating influence from the cold Benguela Current. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while allowing modest solar insolation under variable high pressure. Trader consensus clusters on these values because local factors—such as sea-breeze timing, orographic effects from Table Mountain, and exact afternoon cloud cover—create narrow uncertainty bands between 20°C and 23°C. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, but today's stable atmospheric setup favors the current implied odds over extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 24 de setembro?
21°C 35%
22°C 29%
20°C 16.2%
23°C 12%
$26,815 Vol.
$26,815 Vol.
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
35%
22°C
29%
23°C
12%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 35%
22°C 29%
20°C 16.2%
23°C 12%
$26,815 Vol.
$26,815 Vol.
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
35%
22°C
29%
23°C
12%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast updates from global models, including GFS runs, indicate Cape Town's September 24 maximum will likely peak near 21–22°C amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–12 mph, and moderating influence from the cold Benguela Current. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while allowing modest solar insolation under variable high pressure. Trader consensus clusters on these values because local factors—such as sea-breeze timing, orographic effects from Table Mountain, and exact afternoon cloud cover—create narrow uncertainty bands between 20°C and 23°C. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, but today's stable atmospheric setup favors the current implied odds over extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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