Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 13, with afternoon readings peaking near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow before cooling into the evening. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome days earlier, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong high-pressure systems or frontal passages. Late-day observations now show temperatures falling below 24°C, eliminating any realistic pathway to higher values or a revision below the recorded peak. Trader consensus at near-certainty for exactly 25°C reflects this convergence of verified station data and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,420 Vol.
$95,420 Vol.
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,420 Vol.
$95,420 Vol.
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 13, with afternoon readings peaking near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow before cooling into the evening. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome days earlier, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong high-pressure systems or frontal passages. Late-day observations now show temperatures falling below 24°C, eliminating any realistic pathway to higher values or a revision below the recorded peak. Trader consensus at near-certainty for exactly 25°C reflects this convergence of verified station data and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions