Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 14 de setembro?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F ou menos <1%
32°C-33°C <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,535 Vol.
$43,535 Vol.
14 set 2026
89°F ou menos
Não
32°C-33°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Sim
102-103°F
Não
104-105°F
Não
106-107°F
Não
108°F ou mais
Não
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F ou menos <1%
32°C-33°C <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,535 Vol.
$43,535 Vol.
14 set 2026
89°F ou menos
$365 Vol.
Não
32°C-33°C
$690 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$235 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$684 Vol.
Não
96-97°F
$4,392 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$13,469 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$13,536 Vol.
Sim
102-103°F
$7,144 Vol.
Não
104-105°F
$2,154 Vol.
Não
106-107°F
$704 Vol.
Não
108°F ou mais
$161 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$43,535Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,535Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions