Google's Gemini series trails Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models, which lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59-65% as of mid-September 2026, while recent Gemini 3.1 Pro, 3.7 Flash, and 3.8 Flash variants score in the 45-48% range on text-only or no-tools evaluations. The 2,500-question benchmark, created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI, tests deep multi-step reasoning across math, physics, biology, and other domains where models still show substantial headroom. Trader focus centers on Google's rapid release cadence, including mid-August 2026 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4, which could narrow the gap before year-end resolution. Competitive dynamics favor continued incremental gains in agentic reasoning and error reduction for Gemini variants.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMaior pontuação do Google Gemini no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
Maior pontuação do Google Gemini no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
$92,724 Vol.
31 dez 2026
50%+
90%
55% ou mais
41%
60%+
21%
65%+
12%
70%+
4%
$92,724 Vol.
50%+
$31,006 Vol.
90%
55% ou mais
$36,413 Vol.
41%
60%+
$15,691 Vol.
21%
65%+
$5,256 Vol.
12%
70%+
$4,358 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini series trails Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models, which lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59-65% as of mid-September 2026, while recent Gemini 3.1 Pro, 3.7 Flash, and 3.8 Flash variants score in the 45-48% range on text-only or no-tools evaluations. The 2,500-question benchmark, created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI, tests deep multi-step reasoning across math, physics, biology, and other domains where models still show substantial headroom. Trader focus centers on Google's rapid release cadence, including mid-August 2026 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4, which could narrow the gap before year-end resolution. Competitive dynamics favor continued incremental gains in agentic reasoning and error reduction for Gemini variants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$92,724Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini series trails Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models, which lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59-65% as of mid-September 2026, while recent Gemini 3.1 Pro, 3.7 Flash, and 3.8 Flash variants score in the 45-48% range on text-only or no-tools evaluations. The 2,500-question benchmark, created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI, tests deep multi-step reasoning across math, physics, biology, and other domains where models still show substantial headroom. Trader focus centers on Google's rapid release cadence, including mid-August 2026 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4, which could narrow the gap before year-end resolution. Competitive dynamics favor continued incremental gains in agentic reasoning and error reduction for Gemini variants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$92,724Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini series trails Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models, which lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59-65% as of mid-September 2026, while recent Gemini 3.1 Pro, 3.7 Flash, and 3.8 Flash variants score in the 45-48% range on text-only or no-tools evaluations. The 2,500-question benchmark, created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI, tests deep multi-step reasoning across math, physics, biology, and other domains where models still show substantial headroom. Trader focus centers on Google's rapid release cadence, including mid-August 2026 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4, which could narrow the gap before year-end resolution. Competitive dynamics favor continued incremental gains in agentic reasoning and error reduction for Gemini variants.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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