Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump's early endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million. This positioned him to consolidate support among Florida Republicans in a state where the party has held the governorship since 1998. David Jolly captured the Democratic nomination with about 61% but enters the general election as a former Republican with limited statewide name recognition and far less financial resources. Recent developments include Ron DeSantis's early September endorsement of the GOP slate and polling aggregates showing Donalds ahead by 4–6 points, though some surveys indicate a narrower margin. Traders price in Donalds's structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$59,692 Vol.
$59,692 Vol.

Byron Donalds (R)
83%

David Jolly (D)
19%
$59,692 Vol.
$59,692 Vol.

Byron Donalds (R)
83%

David Jolly (D)
19%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump's early endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million. This positioned him to consolidate support among Florida Republicans in a state where the party has held the governorship since 1998. David Jolly captured the Democratic nomination with about 61% but enters the general election as a former Republican with limited statewide name recognition and far less financial resources. Recent developments include Ron DeSantis's early September endorsement of the GOP slate and polling aggregates showing Donalds ahead by 4–6 points, though some surveys indicate a narrower margin. Traders price in Donalds's structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions