Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. As incumbent, Franklin benefits from strong name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $800,000 raised, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local official with minimal fundraising, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have outperformed Democratic opponents by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such changes before the November 2026 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-18
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-18
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
9%
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
$23,423 Vol.
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
$13,787 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. As incumbent, Franklin benefits from strong name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $800,000 raised, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local official with minimal fundraising, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have outperformed Democratic opponents by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$37,209Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. As incumbent, Franklin benefits from strong name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $800,000 raised, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local official with minimal fundraising, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have outperformed Democratic opponents by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,209Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook PVI and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. As incumbent, Franklin benefits from strong name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $800,000 raised, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local official with minimal fundraising, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have outperformed Democratic opponents by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such changes before the November 2026 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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