Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 61.8%. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat James Martin secured the nomination by a narrow 50.4% to 49.6% margin in the August 18 primary. Mast's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4.3 million with nearly $2.9 million in cash on hand compared to Martin's roughly $579,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his position. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts in voter turnout could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-21
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-21
$15,412 Vol.
$15,412 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brian Mast (R)
91%
James Martin (D)
9%
$15,412 Vol.
$15,412 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brian Mast (R)
$9,240 Vol.
91%
James Martin (D)
$6,173 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 61.8%. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat James Martin secured the nomination by a narrow 50.4% to 49.6% margin in the August 18 primary. Mast's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4.3 million with nearly $2.9 million in cash on hand compared to Martin's roughly $579,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his position. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts in voter turnout could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$15,412Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 61.8%. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat James Martin secured the nomination by a narrow 50.4% to 49.6% margin in the August 18 primary. Mast's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4.3 million with nearly $2.9 million in cash on hand compared to Martin's roughly $579,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his position. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts in voter turnout could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,412Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 61.8%. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat James Martin secured the nomination by a narrow 50.4% to 49.6% margin in the August 18 primary. Mast's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4.3 million with nearly $2.9 million in cash on hand compared to Martin's roughly $579,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his position. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts in voter turnout could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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