The newly redrawn Florida 16th Congressional District, an open seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement, leans Republican after mid-decade redistricting that boosted GOP performance in the region. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with strong support from Donald Trump and party infrastructure, while Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary. Trader pricing reflects the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals—Trump carried the area by 8.5 points in 2024—and Gruters’ advantages in name recognition and fundraising, despite one recent internal poll showing a narrow Kirschner lead. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited scheduled events likely to shift the race before then.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-16
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-16
$25,762 Vol.
$25,762 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sydney Gruters (R)
84%
Kelly Kirschner (D)
17%
$25,762 Vol.
$25,762 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sydney Gruters (R)
$9,773 Vol.
84%
Kelly Kirschner (D)
$15,989 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Florida 16th Congressional District, an open seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement, leans Republican after mid-decade redistricting that boosted GOP performance in the region. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with strong support from Donald Trump and party infrastructure, while Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary. Trader pricing reflects the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals—Trump carried the area by 8.5 points in 2024—and Gruters’ advantages in name recognition and fundraising, despite one recent internal poll showing a narrow Kirschner lead. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited scheduled events likely to shift the race before then.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$25,762Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Florida 16th Congressional District, an open seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement, leans Republican after mid-decade redistricting that boosted GOP performance in the region. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with strong support from Donald Trump and party infrastructure, while Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary. Trader pricing reflects the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals—Trump carried the area by 8.5 points in 2024—and Gruters’ advantages in name recognition and fundraising, despite one recent internal poll showing a narrow Kirschner lead. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited scheduled events likely to shift the race before then.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,762Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly redrawn Florida 16th Congressional District, an open seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement, leans Republican after mid-decade redistricting that boosted GOP performance in the region. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with strong support from Donald Trump and party infrastructure, while Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary. Trader pricing reflects the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals—Trump carried the area by 8.5 points in 2024—and Gruters’ advantages in name recognition and fundraising, despite one recent internal poll showing a narrow Kirschner lead. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited scheduled events likely to shift the race before then.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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