Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic victory. The state’s long-standing partisan lean, combined with McBride’s 2024 win and current fundraising edge, underpins this outlook. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican primary on September 15 features a fragmented field of lesser-known candidates, offering no clear path to competitiveness. Structural factors such as Delaware’s voter registration advantage and historical margins limit upset potential. Late developments like major scandals, candidate health events, or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts emerging within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,359 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic victory. The state’s long-standing partisan lean, combined with McBride’s 2024 win and current fundraising edge, underpins this outlook. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican primary on September 15 features a fragmented field of lesser-known candidates, offering no clear path to competitiveness. Structural factors such as Delaware’s voter registration advantage and historical margins limit upset potential. Late developments like major scandals, candidate health events, or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts emerging within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,260Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic victory. The state’s long-standing partisan lean, combined with McBride’s 2024 win and current fundraising edge, underpins this outlook. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican primary on September 15 features a fragmented field of lesser-known candidates, offering no clear path to competitiveness. Structural factors such as Delaware’s voter registration advantage and historical margins limit upset potential. Late developments like major scandals, candidate health events, or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts emerging within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,260Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic victory. The state’s long-standing partisan lean, combined with McBride’s 2024 win and current fundraising edge, underpins this outlook. All major forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican primary on September 15 features a fragmented field of lesser-known candidates, offering no clear path to competitiveness. Structural factors such as Delaware’s voter registration advantage and historical margins limit upset potential. Late developments like major scandals, candidate health events, or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts emerging within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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