California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-06
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$25,535 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$24,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$49,908Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,908Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn to favor Democrats following voter-approved changes, features a general election matchup between Democrat Richard Pan and independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and subsequent polling show Pan maintaining a modest edge in this D-leaning area, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and limited Republican path in a midterm environment. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high or low turnout among key voting blocs, late-campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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