Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 victory margin of roughly nine points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch with former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent support. Crane maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s rural, conservative character outside tribal lands, where Nez draws stronger backing. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns Crane the higher implied probability of victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Eli Crane (R)
69%
Jonathan Nez (D)
29%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,260 Vol.
69%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$2,172 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 victory margin of roughly nine points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch with former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent support. Crane maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s rural, conservative character outside tribal lands, where Nez draws stronger backing. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns Crane the higher implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$4,432Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 victory margin of roughly nine points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch with former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent support. Crane maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s rural, conservative character outside tribal lands, where Nez draws stronger backing. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns Crane the higher implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,432Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+7 partisan lean and his 2024 victory margin of roughly nine points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch with former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent support. Crane maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s rural, conservative character outside tribal lands, where Nez draws stronger backing. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns Crane the higher implied probability of victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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