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icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 48%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 21%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 15%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal 5.5%

Polymarket

$15,544 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 48%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 21%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 15%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal 5.5%

Polymarket

$15,544 Vol.

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$2,938 Vol.

48%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$954 Vol.

21%

icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$7,451 Vol.

15%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$162 Vol.

6%

icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$307 Vol.

5%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$112 Vol.

4%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$92 Vol.

4%

icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$284 Vol.

4%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$99 Vol.

4%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$251 Vol.

4%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$92 Vol.

4%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$112 Vol.

4%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$132 Vol.

3%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$155 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$92 Vol.

3%

icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$180 Vol.

2%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$264 Vol.

2%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$254 Vol.

1%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$448 Vol.

1%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$1,166 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows Manuel Vera Paredes of Fuerza Arequipeña holding a narrow lead in the fragmented field for Arequipa's October 4 mayoral contest, followed by Renzo Salas Herrera of Arequipa, Tradición y Futuro and Ricardo Ramírez del Villar of Renovación Popular. The large number of regional movement and party candidates has kept support divided, with no contender exceeding roughly 25% in available surveys and substantial shares of undecided or dispersed voters sustaining uncertainty. Trader pricing reflects this competitive landscape, where local priorities such as regional development and candidate visibility ahead of the final weeks could shift momentum among the top contenders.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$15,544
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows Manuel Vera Paredes of Fuerza Arequipeña holding a narrow lead in the fragmented field for Arequipa's October 4 mayoral contest, followed by Renzo Salas Herrera of Arequipa, Tradición y Futuro and Ricardo Ramírez del Villar of Renovación Popular. The large number of regional movement and party candidates has kept support divided, with no contender exceeding roughly 25% in available surveys and substantial shares of undecided or dispersed voters sustaining uncertainty. Trader pricing reflects this competitive landscape, where local priorities such as regional development and candidate visibility ahead of the final weeks could shift momentum among the top contenders.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$15,544
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes" at 48%, followed by "Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" has generated $15.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" is "Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.