Sweden's expulsion of an Iranian embassy official on September 16, 2026, over alleged activities incompatible with the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations has triggered immediate reciprocal action, with Iran ordering a Swedish diplomat to depart within 48 hours. Trader sentiment on further Iranian ambassador expulsions reflects patterns of tit-for-tat diplomacy driven by security concerns, accusations of interference targeting opposition figures or Israeli interests, and Iran's hosting of dissident groups. Prior 2026 cases involving Argentina, France, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United States illustrate how such moves often stem from espionage claims, sanctions disputes, or regional proxy tensions. Additional catalysts could include new intelligence disclosures, legislative designations, or escalations in Europe or the Gulf before year-end resolution windows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOutro embaixador iraniano expulso por...?
Outro embaixador iraniano expulso por...?
$32,541 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
15%
31 de outubro
24%
$32,541 Vol.
30 de setembro
$2,444 Vol.
15%
31 de outubro
$1,780 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's expulsion of an Iranian embassy official on September 16, 2026, over alleged activities incompatible with the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations has triggered immediate reciprocal action, with Iran ordering a Swedish diplomat to depart within 48 hours. Trader sentiment on further Iranian ambassador expulsions reflects patterns of tit-for-tat diplomacy driven by security concerns, accusations of interference targeting opposition figures or Israeli interests, and Iran's hosting of dissident groups. Prior 2026 cases involving Argentina, France, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United States illustrate how such moves often stem from espionage claims, sanctions disputes, or regional proxy tensions. Additional catalysts could include new intelligence disclosures, legislative designations, or escalations in Europe or the Gulf before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$32,541Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's expulsion of an Iranian embassy official on September 16, 2026, over alleged activities incompatible with the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations has triggered immediate reciprocal action, with Iran ordering a Swedish diplomat to depart within 48 hours. Trader sentiment on further Iranian ambassador expulsions reflects patterns of tit-for-tat diplomacy driven by security concerns, accusations of interference targeting opposition figures or Israeli interests, and Iran's hosting of dissident groups. Prior 2026 cases involving Argentina, France, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United States illustrate how such moves often stem from espionage claims, sanctions disputes, or regional proxy tensions. Additional catalysts could include new intelligence disclosures, legislative designations, or escalations in Europe or the Gulf before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,541Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sweden's expulsion of an Iranian embassy official on September 16, 2026, over alleged activities incompatible with the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations has triggered immediate reciprocal action, with Iran ordering a Swedish diplomat to depart within 48 hours. Trader sentiment on further Iranian ambassador expulsions reflects patterns of tit-for-tat diplomacy driven by security concerns, accusations of interference targeting opposition figures or Israeli interests, and Iran's hosting of dissident groups. Prior 2026 cases involving Argentina, France, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United States illustrate how such moves often stem from espionage claims, sanctions disputes, or regional proxy tensions. Additional catalysts could include new intelligence disclosures, legislative designations, or escalations in Europe or the Gulf before year-end resolution windows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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