The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado125-130 milhões 23%
115-120 milhões 21%
120-125 milhões 18%
110-115 milhões 16%
$28,164 Vol.
$28,164 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 milhões
1%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
2%
95-100 milhões
3%
100-105 milhões
6%
105-110 milhões
7%
110-115 milhões
16%
115-120 milhões
21%
120-125 milhões
18%
125-130 milhões
23%
130 milhões+
4%
125-130 milhões 23%
115-120 milhões 21%
120-125 milhões 18%
110-115 milhões 16%
$28,164 Vol.
$28,164 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 milhões
$603 Vol.
1%
85-90 milhões
$609 Vol.
<1%
90-95 milhões
$1,723 Vol.
2%
95-100 milhões
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105 milhões
$1,195 Vol.
6%
105-110 milhões
$931 Vol.
7%
110-115 milhões
$4,475 Vol.
16%
115-120 milhões
$4,662 Vol.
21%
120-125 milhões
$8,991 Vol.
18%
125-130 milhões
$3,301 Vol.
23%
130 milhões+
$1,295 Vol.
4%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$28,164Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$28,164Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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