Republican control of the House through the November 2026 midterms forms the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026. With a narrow GOP majority currently in place, articles introduced by Democrats have remained tabled without floor action, and cross-party support has not emerged. Midterm results, even if they produce a Democratic majority, would not take effect until the new Congress convenes in January 2027, leaving no procedural window for organization or votes before the market resolves. Trader consensus at 98.3% on “No” reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal prompting Republican defections or an accelerated bipartisan coalition could still shift the outcome before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
2% szansa
$1,020,443 Wol.
$1,020,443 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Zarabiaj 3.25%
Tak
2% szansa
$1,020,443 Wol.
$1,020,443 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Zarabiaj 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the November 2026 midterms forms the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026. With a narrow GOP majority currently in place, articles introduced by Democrats have remained tabled without floor action, and cross-party support has not emerged. Midterm results, even if they produce a Democratic majority, would not take effect until the new Congress convenes in January 2027, leaving no procedural window for organization or votes before the market resolves. Trader consensus at 98.3% on “No” reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal prompting Republican defections or an accelerated bipartisan coalition could still shift the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,020,443Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the November 2026 midterms forms the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026. With a narrow GOP majority currently in place, articles introduced by Democrats have remained tabled without floor action, and cross-party support has not emerged. Midterm results, even if they produce a Democratic majority, would not take effect until the new Congress convenes in January 2027, leaving no procedural window for organization or votes before the market resolves. Trader consensus at 98.3% on “No” reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal prompting Republican defections or an accelerated bipartisan coalition could still shift the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$1,020,443Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...Republican control of the House through the November 2026 midterms forms the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026. With a narrow GOP majority currently in place, articles introduced by Democrats have remained tabled without floor action, and cross-party support has not emerged. Midterm results, even if they produce a Democratic majority, would not take effect until the new Congress convenes in January 2027, leaving no procedural window for organization or votes before the market resolves. Trader consensus at 98.3% on “No” reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of bipartisan momentum. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal prompting Republican defections or an accelerated bipartisan coalition could still shift the outcome before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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