Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, creating the structural prerequisite for articles of impeachment to reach a floor vote after January 2027. Prediction market pricing at 68.5% for a simple-majority House vote before January 2029 reflects traders' assessment of Democratic midterm prospects combined with the party's repeated public signals of intent to pursue proceedings on policy and oversight grounds. Republican control of the chamber currently blocks advancement, consistent with the low single-digit odds assigned to action before the end of 2026. Historical precedent of two prior Trump impeachments without Senate conviction informs the distinction between House passage and removal, while the market incorporates uncertainty around exact vote margins and any late-session developments that could alter the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
69% szansa
$102,071 Wol.
$102,071 Wol.
Jan 19, 2029
Zarabiaj 3.25%
69% szansa
$102,071 Wol.
$102,071 Wol.
Jan 19, 2029
Zarabiaj 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, creating the structural prerequisite for articles of impeachment to reach a floor vote after January 2027. Prediction market pricing at 68.5% for a simple-majority House vote before January 2029 reflects traders' assessment of Democratic midterm prospects combined with the party's repeated public signals of intent to pursue proceedings on policy and oversight grounds. Republican control of the chamber currently blocks advancement, consistent with the low single-digit odds assigned to action before the end of 2026. Historical precedent of two prior Trump impeachments without Senate conviction informs the distinction between House passage and removal, while the market incorporates uncertainty around exact vote margins and any late-session developments that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$102,071Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, creating the structural prerequisite for articles of impeachment to reach a floor vote after January 2027. Prediction market pricing at 68.5% for a simple-majority House vote before January 2029 reflects traders' assessment of Democratic midterm prospects combined with the party's repeated public signals of intent to pursue proceedings on policy and oversight grounds. Republican control of the chamber currently blocks advancement, consistent with the low single-digit odds assigned to action before the end of 2026. Historical precedent of two prior Trump impeachments without Senate conviction informs the distinction between House passage and removal, while the market incorporates uncertainty around exact vote margins and any late-session developments that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$102,071Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, creating the structural prerequisite for articles of impeachment to reach a floor vote after January 2027. Prediction market pricing at 68.5% for a simple-majority House vote before January 2029 reflects traders' assessment of Democratic midterm prospects combined with the party's repeated public signals of intent to pursue proceedings on policy and oversight grounds. Republican control of the chamber currently blocks advancement, consistent with the low single-digit odds assigned to action before the end of 2026. Historical precedent of two prior Trump impeachments without Senate conviction informs the distinction between House passage and removal, while the market incorporates uncertainty around exact vote margins and any late-session developments that could alter the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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