**José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero remains under formal investigation by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional in the Caso Plus Ultra for alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, document forgery, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of the airline.** The probe, opened in May 2026, marks the first time a former prime minister has faced such charges in Spain’s democratic era, with evidence drawn from intercepted communications, financial transfers exceeding €1.9 million to Zapatero and associates, and a May office raid that uncovered €1.3 million in jewelry prompting a separate tax and smuggling inquiry. He testified voluntarily in June without restrictions imposed, and the judge has maintained the case amid ongoing appeals over evidence scope, including Bolivia-related payments and broad financial tracing. As of September 2026, the process stays in the instruction phase with no trial date set and no custodial measures, reflecting standard timelines for complex financial cases where cooperation reduces immediate detention risk. Traders monitor court rulings on evidence challenges and any new findings that could alter flight-risk assessments before year-end resolution windows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
$56,694 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
10%
$56,694 Wol.
December 31, 2026
$5,537 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero remains under formal investigation by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional in the Caso Plus Ultra for alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, document forgery, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of the airline.** The probe, opened in May 2026, marks the first time a former prime minister has faced such charges in Spain’s democratic era, with evidence drawn from intercepted communications, financial transfers exceeding €1.9 million to Zapatero and associates, and a May office raid that uncovered €1.3 million in jewelry prompting a separate tax and smuggling inquiry. He testified voluntarily in June without restrictions imposed, and the judge has maintained the case amid ongoing appeals over evidence scope, including Bolivia-related payments and broad financial tracing. As of September 2026, the process stays in the instruction phase with no trial date set and no custodial measures, reflecting standard timelines for complex financial cases where cooperation reduces immediate detention risk. Traders monitor court rulings on evidence challenges and any new findings that could alter flight-risk assessments before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,694Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero remains under formal investigation by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional in the Caso Plus Ultra for alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, document forgery, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of the airline.** The probe, opened in May 2026, marks the first time a former prime minister has faced such charges in Spain’s democratic era, with evidence drawn from intercepted communications, financial transfers exceeding €1.9 million to Zapatero and associates, and a May office raid that uncovered €1.3 million in jewelry prompting a separate tax and smuggling inquiry. He testified voluntarily in June without restrictions imposed, and the judge has maintained the case amid ongoing appeals over evidence scope, including Bolivia-related payments and broad financial tracing. As of September 2026, the process stays in the instruction phase with no trial date set and no custodial measures, reflecting standard timelines for complex financial cases where cooperation reduces immediate detention risk. Traders monitor court rulings on evidence challenges and any new findings that could alter flight-risk assessments before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$56,694Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero remains under formal investigation by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional in the Caso Plus Ultra for alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, document forgery, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of the airline.** The probe, opened in May 2026, marks the first time a former prime minister has faced such charges in Spain’s democratic era, with evidence drawn from intercepted communications, financial transfers exceeding €1.9 million to Zapatero and associates, and a May office raid that uncovered €1.3 million in jewelry prompting a separate tax and smuggling inquiry. He testified voluntarily in June without restrictions imposed, and the judge has maintained the case amid ongoing appeals over evidence scope, including Bolivia-related payments and broad financial tracing. As of September 2026, the process stays in the instruction phase with no trial date set and no custodial measures, reflecting standard timelines for complex financial cases where cooperation reduces immediate detention risk. Traders monitor court rulings on evidence challenges and any new findings that could alter flight-risk assessments before year-end resolution windows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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