Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to John Brennan among listed individuals, driven by sustained DOJ scrutiny of his prior intelligence roles and related investigations into past official conduct. Similar dynamics apply to figures such as Anthony Fauci, James Comey, and Adam Schiff amid congressional oversight and enforcement priorities targeting former officials. Immigration-related detentions and protest cases have elevated focus on activists like Mahmoud Khalil. International entries, including José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, reflect separate foreign legal proceedings. With resolution by December 31, 2026, the narrow remaining window and procedural hurdles constrain near-term shifts absent new indictments or arrests.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$412,533 Wol.
Anthony Fauci
10%
John Brennan
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
11%
Adam Schiff
2%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
19%
James Clapper
11%
Letitia James
9%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
1%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Lisa Cook
3%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
1%
$412,533 Wol.
Anthony Fauci
$164,911 Wol.
10%
John Brennan
$22,332 Wol.
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,455 Wol.
11%
Adam Schiff
$16,570 Wol.
2%
Barack Obama
$29,276 Wol.
2%
James Comey
$10,821 Wol.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,329 Wol.
19%
James Clapper
$7,264 Wol.
11%
Letitia James
$3,047 Wol.
9%
Hillary Clinton
$26,182 Wol.
2%
Bill Clinton
$2,726 Wol.
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 Wol.
8%
Susan Rice
$304 Wol.
9%
Candace Owens
$268 Wol.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,425 Wol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,936 Wol.
5%
John Kerry
$503 Wol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 Wol.
1%
Tom Homan
$41,331 Wol.
5%
Kash Patel
$598 Wol.
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,290 Wol.
11%
Lisa Cook
$4,005 Wol.
3%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Wol.
11%
Joe Biden
$7,565 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to John Brennan among listed individuals, driven by sustained DOJ scrutiny of his prior intelligence roles and related investigations into past official conduct. Similar dynamics apply to figures such as Anthony Fauci, James Comey, and Adam Schiff amid congressional oversight and enforcement priorities targeting former officials. Immigration-related detentions and protest cases have elevated focus on activists like Mahmoud Khalil. International entries, including José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, reflect separate foreign legal proceedings. With resolution by December 31, 2026, the narrow remaining window and procedural hurdles constrain near-term shifts absent new indictments or arrests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$412,533Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to John Brennan among listed individuals, driven by sustained DOJ scrutiny of his prior intelligence roles and related investigations into past official conduct. Similar dynamics apply to figures such as Anthony Fauci, James Comey, and Adam Schiff amid congressional oversight and enforcement priorities targeting former officials. Immigration-related detentions and protest cases have elevated focus on activists like Mahmoud Khalil. International entries, including José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, reflect separate foreign legal proceedings. With resolution by December 31, 2026, the narrow remaining window and procedural hurdles constrain near-term shifts absent new indictments or arrests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$412,533Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to John Brennan among listed individuals, driven by sustained DOJ scrutiny of his prior intelligence roles and related investigations into past official conduct. Similar dynamics apply to figures such as Anthony Fauci, James Comey, and Adam Schiff amid congressional oversight and enforcement priorities targeting former officials. Immigration-related detentions and protest cases have elevated focus on activists like Mahmoud Khalil. International entries, including José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, reflect separate foreign legal proceedings. With resolution by December 31, 2026, the narrow remaining window and procedural hurdles constrain near-term shifts absent new indictments or arrests.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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