Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
$15,841 Wol.
$15,841 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 Wol.
$15,841 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Blake Moore (R)
$2,462 Wol.
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
$13,379 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,841Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$15,841Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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