Recent polling from mid-2026 shows Morena maintaining a substantial lead in party identification for Sonora's 2027 gubernatorial contest, yet the market reflects a tight race among frontrunners because internal nomination processes remain unresolved. Lorenia Valles Sampedro leads Morena coalition surveys in several measurements while facing competition from Javier Lamarque Cano and others, positioning her as the implied favorite; Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas trails as the primary opposition contender from Movimiento Ciudadano. Fragmented opposition parties and undecided voter blocs keep probabilities compressed, with further separation likely after Morena finalizes its candidate through surveys and once general-election matchups clarify turnout dynamics and coalition alignments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLorenia Valles Sampedro 43%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 38.1%
Javier Lamarque Cano 8%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 5.5%
$34,625 Wol.
$34,625 Wol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
38%

Javier Lamarque Cano
8%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
6%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
4%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
2%

Lilly Téllez García
2%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
2%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
1%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
1%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%

Guadalupe María Soto
1%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
1%

Omar del Valle Colosio
1%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%

Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 43%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 38.1%
Javier Lamarque Cano 8%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 5.5%
$34,625 Wol.
$34,625 Wol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
38%

Javier Lamarque Cano
8%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
6%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
4%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
2%

Lilly Téllez García
2%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
2%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
1%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
1%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%

Guadalupe María Soto
1%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
1%

Omar del Valle Colosio
1%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%

Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-2026 shows Morena maintaining a substantial lead in party identification for Sonora's 2027 gubernatorial contest, yet the market reflects a tight race among frontrunners because internal nomination processes remain unresolved. Lorenia Valles Sampedro leads Morena coalition surveys in several measurements while facing competition from Javier Lamarque Cano and others, positioning her as the implied favorite; Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas trails as the primary opposition contender from Movimiento Ciudadano. Fragmented opposition parties and undecided voter blocs keep probabilities compressed, with further separation likely after Morena finalizes its candidate through surveys and once general-election matchups clarify turnout dynamics and coalition alignments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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