Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in South Carolina's 4th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 16.5-point margin there in 2024 and Timmons' own prior victories near 60%. Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The candidates' scheduled October 8 debate offers limited opportunity to shift fundamentals in this heavily Republican district before the November 3 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$43,734 Wol.
$43,734 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
$43,734 Wol.
$43,734 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
William Timmons (R)
$20,131 Wol.
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
$23,603 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in South Carolina's 4th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 16.5-point margin there in 2024 and Timmons' own prior victories near 60%. Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The candidates' scheduled October 8 debate offers limited opportunity to shift fundamentals in this heavily Republican district before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,734Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in South Carolina's 4th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 16.5-point margin there in 2024 and Timmons' own prior victories near 60%. Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The candidates' scheduled October 8 debate offers limited opportunity to shift fundamentals in this heavily Republican district before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$43,734Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in South Carolina's 4th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 16.5-point margin there in 2024 and Timmons' own prior victories near 60%. Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The candidates' scheduled October 8 debate offers limited opportunity to shift fundamentals in this heavily Republican district before the November 3 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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