**LDPR leads the market for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election at 46%, narrowly ahead of New People at 39.5%, with KPRF far behind at 9.5%.** Traders see the contest between LDPR and New People as especially tight because both parties compete for overlapping segments of protest and regional voters outside United Russia's dominant share. LDPR benefits from established structures, consistent regional results, and permitted nationalist messaging that has helped it edge ahead in several recent subnational votes. New People has gained ground through appeals to voters concerned about internet restrictions and economic issues, showing volatility across pollsters and methodologies. KPRF's lower odds reflect ongoing erosion of its traditional base. With voting days away, final turnout patterns, electronic voting mechanics, and any late campaign shifts in the tightly managed system could still determine which of the two frontrunners secures third.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 46%
New People (NL) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.5%
$72,352 Wol.
$72,352 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
46%
New People (NL)
40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%
Yabloko
1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 46%
New People (NL) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.5%
$72,352 Wol.
$72,352 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$20,285 Wol.
46%
New People (NL)
$14,862 Wol.
40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,267 Wol.
10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,629 Wol.
3%
Yabloko
$11,030 Wol.
1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,010 Wol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,399 Wol.
<1%
Rodina
$3,870 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**LDPR leads the market for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election at 46%, narrowly ahead of New People at 39.5%, with KPRF far behind at 9.5%.** Traders see the contest between LDPR and New People as especially tight because both parties compete for overlapping segments of protest and regional voters outside United Russia's dominant share. LDPR benefits from established structures, consistent regional results, and permitted nationalist messaging that has helped it edge ahead in several recent subnational votes. New People has gained ground through appeals to voters concerned about internet restrictions and economic issues, showing volatility across pollsters and methodologies. KPRF's lower odds reflect ongoing erosion of its traditional base. With voting days away, final turnout patterns, electronic voting mechanics, and any late campaign shifts in the tightly managed system could still determine which of the two frontrunners secures third.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$72,352Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**LDPR leads the market for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election at 46%, narrowly ahead of New People at 39.5%, with KPRF far behind at 9.5%.** Traders see the contest between LDPR and New People as especially tight because both parties compete for overlapping segments of protest and regional voters outside United Russia's dominant share. LDPR benefits from established structures, consistent regional results, and permitted nationalist messaging that has helped it edge ahead in several recent subnational votes. New People has gained ground through appeals to voters concerned about internet restrictions and economic issues, showing volatility across pollsters and methodologies. KPRF's lower odds reflect ongoing erosion of its traditional base. With voting days away, final turnout patterns, electronic voting mechanics, and any late campaign shifts in the tightly managed system could still determine which of the two frontrunners secures third.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Wolumen
$72,352Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**LDPR leads the market for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election at 46%, narrowly ahead of New People at 39.5%, with KPRF far behind at 9.5%.** Traders see the contest between LDPR and New People as especially tight because both parties compete for overlapping segments of protest and regional voters outside United Russia's dominant share. LDPR benefits from established structures, consistent regional results, and permitted nationalist messaging that has helped it edge ahead in several recent subnational votes. New People has gained ground through appeals to voters concerned about internet restrictions and economic issues, showing volatility across pollsters and methodologies. KPRF's lower odds reflect ongoing erosion of its traditional base. With voting days away, final turnout patterns, electronic voting mechanics, and any late campaign shifts in the tightly managed system could still determine which of the two frontrunners secures third.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
39%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Czy Jedna Rosja (ER) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w następnych wyborach parlamentarnych w Rosji?
99%
Tak
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