Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano8-10 25%
17+ 21.1%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
<5
4%
5-7
16%
8-10
22%
11-13
21%
14-16
13%
17+
18%
8-10 25%
17+ 21.1%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,979 Wol.
4%
5-7
$838 Wol.
16%
8-10
$1,374 Wol.
22%
11-13
$1,439 Wol.
21%
14-16
$1,017 Wol.
13%
17+
$1,072 Wol.
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,719Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$7,719Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 vote, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce where it leads or contends closely in multiple ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Seat projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting variability in how efficiently PCQ votes translate amid competition from the CAQ and PQ. The spread in trader probabilities across the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ seat bins stems from uncertainty over regional turnout, late-campaign shifts in francophone support, and the impact of candidate recruitment and platform emphasis on housing affordability, healthcare access, and reduced bureaucracy. Upcoming debates and final regional polls could narrow the range by clarifying PCQ’s path in key battlegrounds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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