Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-01 House Election Winner
NJ-01 House Election Winner
$45,724 Wol.
$45,724 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donald Norcross (D)
95%
Damon Galdo (R)
6%
$45,724 Wol.
$45,724 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donald Norcross (D)
$27,440 Wol.
95%
Damon Galdo (R)
$18,284 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$45,724Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$45,724Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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