Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Polityka·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Polityka·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 50%

Elly Schlein 15%

Giuseppe Conte 14%

Roberto Vannacci 9.2%

Polymarket

$83,178 Wol.

Giorgia Meloni 50%

Elly Schlein 15%

Giuseppe Conte 14%

Roberto Vannacci 9.2%

Polymarket

$83,178 Wol.

Giorgia Meloni

$9,781 Wol.

50%

Elly Schlein

$5,924 Wol.

15%

Giuseppe Conte

$5,593 Wol.

14%

Antonio Tajani

$2,277 Wol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$3,400 Wol.

<1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,534 Wol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$2,505 Wol.

1%

Silvia Salis

$8,658 Wol.

9%

Roberto Vannacci

$37,810 Wol.

9%

Matteo Renzi

$1,637 Wol.

<1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,792 Wol.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$2,266 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in the market due to her centre-right coalition’s record of governmental stability, which reached a postwar high of 1,413 consecutive days in early September 2026, alongside achievements in employment growth and fiscal management ahead of the next general election due by December 2027. Traders price her as the frontrunner because her Brothers of Italy party remains the largest single force in polls, even as support for the broader coalition has narrowed. Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte trail as the main centre-left alternatives, reflecting ongoing efforts by the Democratic Party, Five Star Movement and allies to build a unified “campo largo” opposition through recent joint events and program discussions. Roberto Vannacci’s rapid rise with his new far-right party has further fragmented the right, capping his own odds while pressuring Meloni’s coalition ahead of potential early voting.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$83,178
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in the market due to her centre-right coalition’s record of governmental stability, which reached a postwar high of 1,413 consecutive days in early September 2026, alongside achievements in employment growth and fiscal management ahead of the next general election due by December 2027. Traders price her as the frontrunner because her Brothers of Italy party remains the largest single force in polls, even as support for the broader coalition has narrowed. Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte trail as the main centre-left alternatives, reflecting ongoing efforts by the Democratic Party, Five Star Movement and allies to build a unified “campo largo” opposition through recent joint events and program discussions. Roberto Vannacci’s rapid rise with his new far-right party has further fragmented the right, capping his own odds while pressuring Meloni’s coalition ahead of potential early voting.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$83,178
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Powiązane

icon for Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

80%
icon for Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

34%
icon for Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

80%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Giorgia Meloni" z 50%, za nim "Elly Schlein" z 14%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 50¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 50% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" wygenerował $83.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Prime Minister of Italy?", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" jest "Giorgia Meloni" z 50%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 50% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Elly Schlein" z 14%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.