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Wybory·Bośnia I Hercegowina

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Wybory·Bośnia I Hercegowina

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Denis Bećirović 64%

Bakir Izetbegović 34%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$50,176 Wol.

Denis Bećirović 64%

Bakir Izetbegović 34%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$50,176 Wol.

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$27,707 Wol.

64%

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$15,209 Wol.

34%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$7,261 Wol.

<1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, contest for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency, backed by a 14-party coalition that includes the Troika grouping and the Social Democratic Party. As the incumbent since 2022 and current Chairman of the Presidency, he benefits from established institutional visibility and a wide electoral alliance that mirrors his 2022 victory margin. Bakir Izetbegović, the SDA leader and two-term former Presidency member, trails as the primary challenger, drawing support from his party’s traditional base but facing renewed competition after his 2022 defeat. Semir Efendić’s independent candidacy from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina further fragments the field, primarily drawing from voters who might otherwise support Izetbegović. The market pricing reflects these coalition dynamics, incumbency advantages, and vote-splitting effects ahead of the general election.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$50,176
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, contest for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency, backed by a 14-party coalition that includes the Troika grouping and the Social Democratic Party. As the incumbent since 2022 and current Chairman of the Presidency, he benefits from established institutional visibility and a wide electoral alliance that mirrors his 2022 victory margin. Bakir Izetbegović, the SDA leader and two-term former Presidency member, trails as the primary challenger, drawing support from his party’s traditional base but facing renewed competition after his 2022 defeat. Semir Efendić’s independent candidacy from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina further fragments the field, primarily drawing from voters who might otherwise support Izetbegović. The market pricing reflects these coalition dynamics, incumbency advantages, and vote-splitting effects ahead of the general election.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$50,176
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 3 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Denis Bećirović" z 64%, za nim "Bakir Izetbegović" z 34%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 64¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 64% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" wygenerował $50.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 12, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?", przeglądaj 3 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" jest "Denis Bećirović" z 64%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 64% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Bakir Izetbegović" z 34%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.