Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$21,966 Wol.
$21,966 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
6%
$21,966 Wol.
$21,966 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 Wol.
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$9,538 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,966Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,966Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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