Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 Partisan Voter Index that delivered her 66.8 percent of the vote in 2024. McClain’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, her role as House Republican Conference chair, and an unopposed August 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced without primary opposition, has raised under $10,000 and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability for McClain aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited polling. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave, turnout shifts among manufacturing voters, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
$33,708 Wol.
$33,708 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Lisa McClain (R)
95%
Ray Pooley (D)
6%
$33,708 Wol.
$33,708 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Lisa McClain (R)
$27,141 Wol.
95%
Ray Pooley (D)
$6,567 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 Partisan Voter Index that delivered her 66.8 percent of the vote in 2024. McClain’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, her role as House Republican Conference chair, and an unopposed August 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced without primary opposition, has raised under $10,000 and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability for McClain aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited polling. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave, turnout shifts among manufacturing voters, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,708Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 Partisan Voter Index that delivered her 66.8 percent of the vote in 2024. McClain’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, her role as House Republican Conference chair, and an unopposed August 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced without primary opposition, has raised under $10,000 and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability for McClain aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited polling. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave, turnout shifts among manufacturing voters, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,708Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, a seat with an R+16 Partisan Voter Index that delivered her 66.8 percent of the vote in 2024. McClain’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, her role as House Republican Conference chair, and an unopposed August 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced without primary opposition, has raised under $10,000 and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability for McClain aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited polling. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave, turnout shifts among manufacturing voters, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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