Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has kept Manila under widespread cloud cover and frequent moderate-to-heavy rain on September 10, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 24°C. High humidity near 95% combined with light winds has further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with PAGASA observations of 24.7°C the prior day and model guidance projecting overnight lows of 24–25°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise station readings, as small differences in cloud timing or localized rainfall intensity can shift the official minimum by 1°C. Forecasters note typical September climatology for the region centers on 24–26°C lows under similar monsoon patterns, with resolution hinging on the final PAGASA Science Garden or airport station report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
24°C 50%
23°C 43%
22°C 40%
20°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
40%
23°C
43%
24°C
50%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 43%
22°C 40%
20°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$45 Wol.
1%
21°C
$87 Wol.
1%
22°C
$30 Wol.
40%
23°C
$31 Wol.
43%
24°C
$0 Wol.
50%
25°C
$1,114 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$73 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$75 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$40 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has kept Manila under widespread cloud cover and frequent moderate-to-heavy rain on September 10, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 24°C. High humidity near 95% combined with light winds has further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with PAGASA observations of 24.7°C the prior day and model guidance projecting overnight lows of 24–25°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise station readings, as small differences in cloud timing or localized rainfall intensity can shift the official minimum by 1°C. Forecasters note typical September climatology for the region centers on 24–26°C lows under similar monsoon patterns, with resolution hinging on the final PAGASA Science Garden or airport station report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,525Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has kept Manila under widespread cloud cover and frequent moderate-to-heavy rain on September 10, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 24°C. High humidity near 95% combined with light winds has further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with PAGASA observations of 24.7°C the prior day and model guidance projecting overnight lows of 24–25°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise station readings, as small differences in cloud timing or localized rainfall intensity can shift the official minimum by 1°C. Forecasters note typical September climatology for the region centers on 24–26°C lows under similar monsoon patterns, with resolution hinging on the final PAGASA Science Garden or airport station report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,525Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has kept Manila under widespread cloud cover and frequent moderate-to-heavy rain on September 10, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 24°C. High humidity near 95% combined with light winds has further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with PAGASA observations of 24.7°C the prior day and model guidance projecting overnight lows of 24–25°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise station readings, as small differences in cloud timing or localized rainfall intensity can shift the official minimum by 1°C. Forecasters note typical September climatology for the region centers on 24–26°C lows under similar monsoon patterns, with resolution hinging on the final PAGASA Science Garden or airport station report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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