**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Manila on September 10, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered to occasional rains, and suppressed daytime heating across Metro Manila.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate maximum temperatures near or at 30°C (roughly 86°F) at representative stations such as Science Garden in Quezon City, consistent with September climatology under monsoonal flow. High humidity and widespread cloudiness reduce solar insolation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold in most runs. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation, or localized measurement differences if stations record a slightly higher or lower peak. Updated official observations and any late-day model adjustments remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 10?
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$29,487 Wol.
$29,487 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$29,487 Wol.
$29,487 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$566 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$547 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$487 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,595 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,980 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$8,483 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,082 Wol.
99%
31°C
$4,847 Wol.
1%
32°C
$2,728 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$828 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$345 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Manila on September 10, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered to occasional rains, and suppressed daytime heating across Metro Manila.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate maximum temperatures near or at 30°C (roughly 86°F) at representative stations such as Science Garden in Quezon City, consistent with September climatology under monsoonal flow. High humidity and widespread cloudiness reduce solar insolation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold in most runs. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation, or localized measurement differences if stations record a slightly higher or lower peak. Updated official observations and any late-day model adjustments remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,487Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Manila on September 10, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered to occasional rains, and suppressed daytime heating across Metro Manila.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate maximum temperatures near or at 30°C (roughly 86°F) at representative stations such as Science Garden in Quezon City, consistent with September climatology under monsoonal flow. High humidity and widespread cloudiness reduce solar insolation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold in most runs. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation, or localized measurement differences if stations record a slightly higher or lower peak. Updated official observations and any late-day model adjustments remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,487Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Manila on September 10, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered to occasional rains, and suppressed daytime heating across Metro Manila.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate maximum temperatures near or at 30°C (roughly 86°F) at representative stations such as Science Garden in Quezon City, consistent with September climatology under monsoonal flow. High humidity and widespread cloudiness reduce solar insolation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold in most runs. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation, or localized measurement differences if stations record a slightly higher or lower peak. Updated official observations and any late-day model adjustments remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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