Forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 11, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air ahead of a weak front, combined with extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This positions 13°C and 14°C as near-even favorites in trader consensus, while the slim odds on 8°C or below reflect historical September minima rarely dipping that low absent strong high-pressure blocking. Uncertainty stems from model spread on exact timing of any clearing or wind shift, which could allow brief additional cooling below 12°C or keep readings above 15°C. Official observations from Schiphol or KNMI stations will resolve the market within hours of the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
8°C or below 53%
18°C or higher 53%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
8°C or below
53%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
7%
12°C
25%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C or higher
53%
8°C or below 53%
18°C or higher 53%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
8°C or below
53%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
7%
12°C
25%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 11, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air ahead of a weak front, combined with extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This positions 13°C and 14°C as near-even favorites in trader consensus, while the slim odds on 8°C or below reflect historical September minima rarely dipping that low absent strong high-pressure blocking. Uncertainty stems from model spread on exact timing of any clearing or wind shift, which could allow brief additional cooling below 12°C or keep readings above 15°C. Official observations from Schiphol or KNMI stations will resolve the market within hours of the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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