Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
20°C 57%
21°C 30%
19°C 10%
22°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
57%
21°C
30%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 57%
21°C 30%
19°C 10%
22°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$89 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$146 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$55 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$119 Wol.
2%
18°C
$96 Wol.
3%
19°C
$219 Wol.
10%
20°C
$884 Wol.
57%
21°C
$1,108 Wol.
30%
22°C
$150 Wol.
3%
23°C
$201 Wol.
2%
24°C or higher
$142 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,207Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,207Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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