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Polityka·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Polityka·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 74.2%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 7%

Francis James Allison Oyague 6%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 3.1%

Polymarket

$130,324 Wol.

Rafael López Aliaga 74.2%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 7%

Francis James Allison Oyague 6%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 3.1%

Polymarket

$130,324 Wol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$6,872 Wol.

74%

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$42,492 Wol.

7%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$17,664 Wol.

6%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$8,587 Wol.

3%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$4,280 Wol.

1%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$3,265 Wol.

1%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$9,541 Wol.

1%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$3,449 Wol.

1%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$2,323 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$3,126 Wol.

<1%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$1,727 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$1,853 Wol.

<1%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$4,923 Wol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$1,829 Wol.

<1%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$1,727 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$2,118 Wol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$2,446 Wol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$1,684 Wol.

<1%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$1,898 Wol.

<1%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$2,479 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$2,201 Wol.

<1%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$1,769 Wol.

<1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$2,073 Wol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga leads the race for Alcalde Metropolitano de Lima in the October 4, 2026 municipal elections, with recent surveys from CPI, Ipsos, and CIT placing him at 30-39% support after Luis Rubio withdrew as the Renovación Popular mayoral candidate. This positioned López Aliaga, the former mayor and current first regidor nominee, to head the ticket amid ongoing legal review of his eligibility under re-election rules. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones confirmed his candidacy in early September, clearing the final procedural hurdle. Other contenders, including Carlos Bruce, Francis Allison, Daniel Urresti, Susel Paredes, and Ricardo Belmont, trail in single or low double digits with substantial undecided voters remaining. These polling trends and institutional developments underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Wolumen
$130,324
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga leads the race for Alcalde Metropolitano de Lima in the October 4, 2026 municipal elections, with recent surveys from CPI, Ipsos, and CIT placing him at 30-39% support after Luis Rubio withdrew as the Renovación Popular mayoral candidate. This positioned López Aliaga, the former mayor and current first regidor nominee, to head the ticket amid ongoing legal review of his eligibility under re-election rules. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones confirmed his candidacy in early September, clearing the final procedural hurdle. Other contenders, including Carlos Bruce, Francis Allison, Daniel Urresti, Susel Paredes, and Ricardo Belmont, trail in single or low double digits with substantial undecided voters remaining. These polling trends and institutional developments underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Wolumen
$130,324
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Lima Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 23 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Rafael López Aliaga" z 74%, za nim "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" z 7%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 74¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 74% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" wygenerował $130.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 24, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Lima Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 23 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Rafael López Aliaga" z 74%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 74% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" z 7%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.