Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race due to party unification after rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September and a September poll showing her at 45.4% support—34.7 points ahead of independent Li Wen-liang—with all other candidates combined below 18% and 37.6% undecided. Traders price her at 95% amid Kinmen’s consistent KMT lean, her long local record, and the absence of a DPP candidate, while viewing the fragmented independent field as unlikely to consolidate. Late shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen developments could still narrow the gap before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChen Yu-jen 95%
Li Wen-liang 3.2%
Liang Wen-tao 1.1%
Yang Cheng-wu <1%
$11,277 Wol.
$11,277 Wol.

Chen Yu-jen
95%

Li Wen-liang
3%

Liang Wen-tao
1%

Yang Cheng-wu
1%
Chen Yu-jen 95%
Li Wen-liang 3.2%
Liang Wen-tao 1.1%
Yang Cheng-wu <1%
$11,277 Wol.
$11,277 Wol.

Chen Yu-jen
95%

Li Wen-liang
3%

Liang Wen-tao
1%

Yang Cheng-wu
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race due to party unification after rival Yang Cheng-wu withdrew in early September and a September poll showing her at 45.4% support—34.7 points ahead of independent Li Wen-liang—with all other candidates combined below 18% and 37.6% undecided. Traders price her at 95% amid Kinmen’s consistent KMT lean, her long local record, and the absence of a DPP candidate, while viewing the fragmented independent field as unlikely to consolidate. Late shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen developments could still narrow the gap before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania