Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Wuhan warming rapidly on September 24 after days of rain and cooler readings (22–26°C highs on September 22–23). Subsidence and southerly flow are expected to yield partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, supporting daytime maxima near 29–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the 30°C outcome at the center of current model consensus, consistent with market-implied odds of 36.5% for 30°C, 24.5% for 31°C, and 23.5% for 29°C. Lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect remaining uncertainty in afternoon heating and any late-day convective development, with resolution based on official station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 24?
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 23%
32°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
37%
31°C
28%
32°C
8%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 23%
32°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$40 Wol.
1%
27°C
$76 Wol.
2%
28°C
$266 Wol.
5%
29°C
$262 Wol.
23%
30°C
$334 Wol.
37%
31°C
$3,283 Wol.
28%
32°C
$438 Wol.
8%
33°C
$11 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$33 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$20 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Wuhan warming rapidly on September 24 after days of rain and cooler readings (22–26°C highs on September 22–23). Subsidence and southerly flow are expected to yield partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, supporting daytime maxima near 29–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the 30°C outcome at the center of current model consensus, consistent with market-implied odds of 36.5% for 30°C, 24.5% for 31°C, and 23.5% for 29°C. Lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect remaining uncertainty in afternoon heating and any late-day convective development, with resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,764Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Wuhan warming rapidly on September 24 after days of rain and cooler readings (22–26°C highs on September 22–23). Subsidence and southerly flow are expected to yield partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, supporting daytime maxima near 29–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the 30°C outcome at the center of current model consensus, consistent with market-implied odds of 36.5% for 30°C, 24.5% for 31°C, and 23.5% for 29°C. Lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect remaining uncertainty in afternoon heating and any late-day convective development, with resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,764Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Wuhan warming rapidly on September 24 after days of rain and cooler readings (22–26°C highs on September 22–23). Subsidence and southerly flow are expected to yield partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, supporting daytime maxima near 29–32°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. This places the 30°C outcome at the center of current model consensus, consistent with market-implied odds of 36.5% for 30°C, 24.5% for 31°C, and 23.5% for 29°C. Lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect remaining uncertainty in afternoon heating and any late-day convective development, with resolution based on official station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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