**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in central Tokyo on September 23, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at near-certainty.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures within a narrow 22–25°C range consistent with seasonal norms for late September. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance aligned closely with these measurements, leaving minimal room for revision once stations finalized hourly data. Scenarios that could have altered this—such as unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection—did not materialize, underscoring how real-time synoptic conditions and verified station readings drive the overwhelming trader consensus here.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,698 Wol.
$58,698 Wol.
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,698 Wol.
$58,698 Wol.
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
$1,356 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,276 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,311 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$14,313 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$10,900 Wol.
100%
25°C
$9,158 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$8,840 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$3,581 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,711 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$3,454 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,798 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in central Tokyo on September 23, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at near-certainty.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures within a narrow 22–25°C range consistent with seasonal norms for late September. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance aligned closely with these measurements, leaving minimal room for revision once stations finalized hourly data. Scenarios that could have altered this—such as unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection—did not materialize, underscoring how real-time synoptic conditions and verified station readings drive the overwhelming trader consensus here.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,698Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in central Tokyo on September 23, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at near-certainty.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures within a narrow 22–25°C range consistent with seasonal norms for late September. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance aligned closely with these measurements, leaving minimal room for revision once stations finalized hourly data. Scenarios that could have altered this—such as unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection—did not materialize, underscoring how real-time synoptic conditions and verified station readings drive the overwhelming trader consensus here.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$58,698Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in central Tokyo on September 23, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at near-certainty.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures within a narrow 22–25°C range consistent with seasonal norms for late September. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance aligned closely with these measurements, leaving minimal room for revision once stations finalized hourly data. Scenarios that could have altered this—such as unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection—did not materialize, underscoring how real-time synoptic conditions and verified station readings drive the overwhelming trader consensus here.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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