Official weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 23, 2026, converge on a daily high of 25–27°C, with several models projecting 25.7°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and 40–80% humidity that limits daytime heating. Late-September seasonal cooling, combined with residual moisture from recent showers, suppresses temperatures below peak summer norms around 30°C while preventing sharp drops. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (74% implied probability) and 26°C (19.5%), reflecting trader consensus on model agreement and minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution depends on the final official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
25°C 78%
26°C 16%
27°C 3%
28°C <1%
$15,739 Wol.
$15,739 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
78%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 78%
26°C 16%
27°C 3%
28°C <1%
$15,739 Wol.
$15,739 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
78%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 23, 2026, converge on a daily high of 25–27°C, with several models projecting 25.7°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and 40–80% humidity that limits daytime heating. Late-September seasonal cooling, combined with residual moisture from recent showers, suppresses temperatures below peak summer norms around 30°C while preventing sharp drops. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (74% implied probability) and 26°C (19.5%), reflecting trader consensus on model agreement and minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution depends on the final official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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