Forecast consensus from numerical models and official guidance points to a daily maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 17, aligning with the seasonal average high of 26.2°C for the date under a stable high-pressure regime. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk support modest daytime warming without significant advection or instability. Official AEMET observations show temperatures climbing through the morning, with peak readings expected in the afternoon at representative stations such as Retiro or Barajas. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C reflect this tight clustering around climatological norms, though minor variations in measurement timing, local microclimates, or model adjustments could shift the exact outcome within a narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
27°C 55%
26°C 37%
25°C 6%
28°C 5%
$39,709 Wol.
$39,709 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
37%
27°C
55%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
26°C 37%
25°C 6%
28°C 5%
$39,709 Wol.
$39,709 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$863 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,612 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$820 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,579 Wol.
1%
25°C
$5,739 Wol.
6%
26°C
$8,382 Wol.
37%
27°C
$7,613 Wol.
55%
28°C
$8,934 Wol.
5%
29°C
$2,213 Wol.
1%
30°C
$613 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,342 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical models and official guidance points to a daily maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 17, aligning with the seasonal average high of 26.2°C for the date under a stable high-pressure regime. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk support modest daytime warming without significant advection or instability. Official AEMET observations show temperatures climbing through the morning, with peak readings expected in the afternoon at representative stations such as Retiro or Barajas. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C reflect this tight clustering around climatological norms, though minor variations in measurement timing, local microclimates, or model adjustments could shift the exact outcome within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,709Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical models and official guidance points to a daily maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 17, aligning with the seasonal average high of 26.2°C for the date under a stable high-pressure regime. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk support modest daytime warming without significant advection or instability. Official AEMET observations show temperatures climbing through the morning, with peak readings expected in the afternoon at representative stations such as Retiro or Barajas. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C reflect this tight clustering around climatological norms, though minor variations in measurement timing, local microclimates, or model adjustments could shift the exact outcome within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$39,709Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical models and official guidance points to a daily maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 17, aligning with the seasonal average high of 26.2°C for the date under a stable high-pressure regime. Light northeasterly winds, low humidity, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk support modest daytime warming without significant advection or instability. Official AEMET observations show temperatures climbing through the morning, with peak readings expected in the afternoon at representative stations such as Retiro or Barajas. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C reflect this tight clustering around climatological norms, though minor variations in measurement timing, local microclimates, or model adjustments could shift the exact outcome within a narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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