**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
33°C 42%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
42%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 42%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
$226 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
2%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C
$0 Wol.
4%
31°C
$0 Wol.
8%
32°C
$969 Wol.
29%
33°C
$109 Wol.
42%
34°C
$38 Wol.
16%
35°C
$0 Wol.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,586Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,586Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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