Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall have sharply suppressed daytime heating across Chengdu, driving forecasts for a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on September 10. Official guidance from monitoring agencies indicates persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and periods of rain or showers that limit solar insolation and keep the daily high well below the early-September climatological average near 27°C. Model consensus and observational trends from the preceding 48 hours support this narrow range, with limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22–23°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these verifiable atmospheric conditions and the resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
23°C 56%
24°C 23%
22°C 11%
25°C 5%
$20,619 Wol.
$20,619 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
11%
23°C
56%
24°C
23%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 56%
24°C 23%
22°C 11%
25°C 5%
$20,619 Wol.
$20,619 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
11%
23°C
56%
24°C
23%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall have sharply suppressed daytime heating across Chengdu, driving forecasts for a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on September 10. Official guidance from monitoring agencies indicates persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and periods of rain or showers that limit solar insolation and keep the daily high well below the early-September climatological average near 27°C. Model consensus and observational trends from the preceding 48 hours support this narrow range, with limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22–23°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these verifiable atmospheric conditions and the resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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