Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms developing through the afternoon in Denver, with forecast highs centered around 80–82°F amid variable cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These conditions, including a 20–37% precipitation chance and potential for brief cooling from outflow boundaries, underpin the market's tight clustering around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for an 84°F+ outlier if storms remain isolated or delayed. Historical September averages near 79°F and yesterday's observed 83°F provide context for the modest upward tilt in trader-implied odds, though model spreads on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on September 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 17?
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 24%
84°F or higher 23.0%
78-79°F 14%
$20,839 Wol.
$20,839 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
32%
84°F or higher
23%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 24%
84°F or higher 23.0%
78-79°F 14%
$20,839 Wol.
$20,839 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
65°F or below
$149 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$139 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$139 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,565 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,579 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,590 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$2,770 Wol.
10%
78-79°F
$2,092 Wol.
14%
80-81°F
$3,001 Wol.
24%
82-83°F
$2,617 Wol.
32%
84°F or higher
$2,198 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms developing through the afternoon in Denver, with forecast highs centered around 80–82°F amid variable cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These conditions, including a 20–37% precipitation chance and potential for brief cooling from outflow boundaries, underpin the market's tight clustering around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for an 84°F+ outlier if storms remain isolated or delayed. Historical September averages near 79°F and yesterday's observed 83°F provide context for the modest upward tilt in trader-implied odds, though model spreads on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,839Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms developing through the afternoon in Denver, with forecast highs centered around 80–82°F amid variable cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These conditions, including a 20–37% precipitation chance and potential for brief cooling from outflow boundaries, underpin the market's tight clustering around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for an 84°F+ outlier if storms remain isolated or delayed. Historical September averages near 79°F and yesterday's observed 83°F provide context for the modest upward tilt in trader-implied odds, though model spreads on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,839Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms developing through the afternoon in Denver, with forecast highs centered around 80–82°F amid variable cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These conditions, including a 20–37% precipitation chance and potential for brief cooling from outflow boundaries, underpin the market's tight clustering around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for an 84°F+ outlier if storms remain isolated or delayed. Historical September averages near 79°F and yesterday's observed 83°F provide context for the modest upward tilt in trader-implied odds, though model spreads on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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